Forex Trading

Trading: Risk Little, Risk the Lot

Posted in Forex Trading | Traders' Delusions, Submitted by Trading Critic on Wed, 2006-09-06 13:41.
Forex trading: do you risk the lot or risk a little when you trade the foreign exchange markets

Traders are risk takers. We accept the market risks in the hope of making a killing making a living from trading the markets. Here I will discuss a case study on the consequences of leverage and the critical decision whether to "risk little or to risk the lot." I will use the forex markets for this case study. Similar concepts apply across other markets, but this particular concept works well with the foreign exchange markets due to their volatility. You may not agree with me with this case study and I reserve the right to change my position on this at anytime. Also, this is written for people with some experience in trading forex.

After trading the forex markets for a few years and a little reflection I came up with this thought: I can risk a little or risk a lot. You've got two choices and four outcomes. First you have the choice of either risking a little money or risking the lot. The secondary outcome for both cases is not your choice: it is up to the market to decide whether it shall go up or down.

Yes, so aren't you stating the obvious? What's the point? The point is, your initial choice of the amount of leverage is critical in determining your success in trading the forex market. But Marco? How did you arrive to that conclusion? Bear with me and you'll see. In this case study we will use the AUD/USD (Australian and US Dollar) currency pair, assume we are trading a standard contract size where each contract is worth $100,000 and so 1 pip equates to US$10. So in this case we will assume that we have a profit target of US$1000 for this particular trade. How we make that amount of profit, and the amount of risk you take on board depends on your fundamental choice (of risking a little or a lot) as well as the volatility of the particular equity. For the Aussie and US currency pair, it is quite rare to see 100 pip movements per day, unlike currency pairs such as EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar). Typically the Aussie moves around 20 to 50 pips a day. That is the amount of volatility we are playing with. So to be realistic about your profit , assuming you are day trading and perfect "market conditions" (the market is going the way you set your trade), you should only expect to make 20 to 40 pips a day (that is in optimal circumstances - remember this is only a case study after all).

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Forex Trading Tips - Part 3

Posted in Forex Trading, Submitted by Trading Critic on Sat, 2006-04-08 07:06.

Welcome to part 3. If you have bothered to keep reading until now, you must be enjoying my articles, right? We continue on, our journey, exploring some new forex trading tips to help you either get started or improve your trading skills. Make sure you have read part two before you keep reading. I hope you are taking notes about these secrets to trading the forex markets successfully.

In the last article (part two) of forex trading tips, we went through the concepts of keeping your greed in check with respect to the amount of leverage you take with your trades. Also, I recommended you go out and sort yourself out with a trading strategy. You must be independent when you trade as well as confident in your trading. We also discussed you, "the trader" are a LOSER.

Trade with the volume. Don’t trade in the off-peak hours. (unless you are really confident) The reason is that there is no volume, and the larger institutional traders may be using this time to hedge their positions. So as you watch the markets when you first start off, notice when your currency pais are especially active. Note when the markets for the countries whose currency pairs you are trading open and close. Knowing this information is vital, as sometimes these are the times when forex prices gap by large amounts.

Follow the white rabbit. Or rather, the black rabbit. What I mean is, follow that black line on your screen. Yes, that line. What line? I’m talking about the trendline that you arbitrarily drew on your trading screen. It depends on your system what time scale you are looking at with your trendline, but always remember to trade with the trend. If the market is going up, it’s going up. If it is going down, it’s going down. Simple. Bullish markets. Bearish markets. You can’t predict the future from past trends but acknowledge that sometimes there is a pattern – the trend that the market usually follows for a certain amount of time. Trade with the crowd – not against it. Think about what happens to you if you try to walk against a herd of people exiting a football stadium? You would find you would probably make no progress.

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Forex Trading Tips - Part 2

Posted in Forex Trading, Submitted by Trading Critic on Sat, 2006-04-08 07:05.

Welcome to part 2. Still reading about the forex markets are we? Looking for more forex trading tips to help you either get started or improve your trading skills? Maybe you are just curious about how the your friend is making a killing at the forex markets, and not getting killed like you are. Whatever your case, make sure you have read part one before you keep reading. So here, we continue on our journey of discovery about finding the secret of trading the forex markets successfully.

In the last article of forex trading tips, I said something about being ambitious yet humble. Well in other words, the type of trading you want to avoid is being overly cautious. Being over cautious tells me one thing about your trading. And that is, you aren’t confident enough about your trading and it is too risky for you to trade the markets effectively. When you take a position, you must be confident. And when you have confidently opened a position you should give your position a chance to give a result.

Be independent. You have your own personality, be yourself, don’t be someone else. Be true to yourself in your trading and you will succeed. If you pretend to be someone else in the markets, the markets will quickly take profits from you. When you start listening to too many people, people who may have more experience, or people who simply have opinions, be careful with the information and advice you receive. Make your trades by yourself, be accountable to yourself.

You are a loser. And will always be a loser. That is, be humble. Remind yourself, that every day spent in the market increases the chance for you losing. Be confident in your trading, but not too over-confident to consider yourself bulletproof. You will lose for sure – but it is up to you on how much of a realized loss you will take.

Greed with respect to leverage. Be careful with the amount of leverage you place in every forex trade you make. Question your motivation to increase your leverage amount – is it because you are mastering your system, and know that your system delivers or is it because of plain greed? Did you do the calculations in your head? “Hmm, If I put more money into the trade, with more leverage, IF I turn a profit, the profit will be HEAPS larger than simply putting XXX amount.? STOP! Question yourself – is this calculation due to greed? Thinking along these lines is almost certainly a trap due to greed. Watch out.

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Forex Trading Tips - Part 1

Posted in Forex Trading, Submitted by Trading Critic on Sat, 2006-04-08 07:00.

The retail forex markets are certainly in a boom time. Forex dealers are popping up like rabbits. Hundreds of thousands of people like you and me are trading the markets for a nice profit everyday. Brokers are making a killing from their spreads in these deals. Forex markets are volatile and hence present great profit opportunities as well as great risks to your capital. And if you aren’t careful your capital will quickly be lost by the markets. So what is the key? What is the secret to trading the forex markets successfully? We look at some forex trading tips in the following series of reports.

Some of the facts and measures we go through may be simple to some but may be new concepts altogether for other people. All in all every piece of information is critical to your understanding and succeeding in the forex markets, and hopefully our articles about forex trading tips will help you on your way.

When you trade currencies you are trading currency pairs. You always trade a currency in reference to another. Therefore, when you are looking to trade currencies, make sure you are aware which currency pair you are looking at trading with and understand how both currencies impact on one another.

Understand the bigger picture. Understand how the foreign exchange markets are influenced, and what makes them move. The forex market movements are different to stock markets in their leverage and in their volatility and nature. They are open 24 hours and because they are global, are easily influenced by news and data releases at any time of day. Any news affecting any country’s economic progress or anything about interest rates are bound to have some effect on the forex markets in their relevant currency pairs.

Be ambitious yet humble. Your trading goals need to be reasonable, not too greedy, but not too small. Some traders aim to profit from small moves - placing tight orders to take their small profits. But think about it – is this sustainable? Is your risk/return ratio worth the effort? Remember that you have to wait until the price clears the spread your dealer placed on the currency pair. If your trading system it aiming small, it would mean, more trades and more chance the trade will go sour, since a large portion (the spread) of your trade will be going to to your dealer’s pockets and you aren’t allowing for much movement before you take your profits (or loss). If you are new, this concept may be a little confusing, but for those of you in the know - you should definitely have a think about it if you haven’t already considered it.

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Forex Trading Information: Beware of Frauds

Posted in Forex Trading, Submitted by Trading Critic on Sat, 2006-04-08 06:49.

You may have been solicited to trade “foreign exchange contracts? or “forex?. For new traders this forex trading information is critical in starting off your trading career on a clean slate. Frauds are infiltrating the forex trading grounds and it is critical to your success to be aware of the frauds that abound the markets. Be aware of these frauds being perpetrated in the financial markets to safeguard your forex trading. So when you consider and shop around for a forex broker be sure that this forex trading information serves you well.

There has been a boom in the financial industry in the last few years and the numbers and complexities of financial investment opportunities are growing exponentially. And along with this explosive growth, so are the scams associated with the forex currency trading. But also be aware that along the lines of the forex trading information that you come across that many forex trading firms are also legitimate – it is those companies that are defrauding traders that you should be cautious about.

As a budding trader you are vulnerable to the fact that these companies attract customers through the normal routes of communication: advertisements in the paper, radio or internet. The advertisements will almost always tout forex trading information results claiming high return, low risk investment opportunities in the forex trading arena. Of course as anything, you should be always aware and skeptical if anyone offers you high profits with minimal risks. There is no such thing in any market. High returns and high risk always go hand in hand. Be wary, if the firms promote their services as such.

When you are shopping for a forex broker be sure that you follow up and request and research forex trading information about the company: Are they registered with your government’s regulatory body? Are they certified and registered to be a securities dealer or broker? Thye may also be a subsidiary of a bank or an insurance firm – always ask before you sign the dotted line.

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Learn Forex: Important Concepts for New Traders

Posted in Forex Trading, Submitted by Trading Critic on Sat, 2006-04-08 06:47.

The forex market can be a daunting arena for new traders; and for some, simply not knowing simple concepts means huge losses. So it is important to learn forex concepts that are important in trading successfully. As you learn these forex concepts you may find some concepts familiar while others foreign. All it takes is a bit of effort and determination to master a few basic fundamental concepts of forex trading.

As you lean forex one piece of jargon will keep popping up. “Pips? is the vocabulary word that we are talking about. It is perhaps the most used word in forex trading. Traders make money from pip movement. In learning forex you may have noticed that forex currencies are quoted to four decimal places. If you remember your high school maths the first decimal place to the right of the decimal place is the tenths column, the second is the hundredths and the last is the thousandths column. One movement plus or minus one thousandth is one pip movement. It can also be interpreted as a hundredth of a cent. This may be a little confusing so let’s follow up your forex learning with a few examples. If one currency pair is quoted as $1.1278, a one pip increase is $1.1279 while a one pip decrease is $1.1277. When I said that the one pip can also be interpreted as a hundredth of a cent, here’s what I meant: If the currency pair is quoted at 0.7465 cents then a one pip movement either way is simply a hundredth of a cent.

It is important that as you learn forex that you understand the implications of pip movement. In forex you are usually geared in your trading positions. You have a choice between a regular or standard account or a mini account so each pip could have the value of $10 or $1 depending on the amount of leverage you are utilising. So according to your gearing a positive 10 pip movement can either mean a $100 profit for a standard account and a $10 profit for a regular account.

If you are a share trader or have traded in your past you may already be aware of the importance of trading volume. For those who are using this article to learn forex, well here it is for your benefit. Trading volume is used by traders as an indicator of how much money is being traded at any moment in the charts. A general rule of thumb is that high volume indicates market consensus on a price and low volume indicates the opposite. Highest volumes of forex are traded during the time at which the major markets are open for trade.

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FOREX: Introduction to the Foreign Exchange Market

Posted in Forex Trading, Submitted by Trading Critic on Sat, 2006-04-08 06:45.

Are you researching the topic of Forex and the foreign exchange market for education? Or are you a trader who is looking for other markets to play around with? Well hopefully, we will give you an introduction to the Forex markets that will accommodate both your needs and inform you of the basic concepts and issues that intertwine with the world’s currency exchange market. Foreign exchange markets are always in a constant state of flux, and for the budding forex trader, it can be a rather daunting place to invest and trade your money, or for the student it is a rather confusing topic to master. We introduce you into the world of the foreign exchange market.

The Australian foreign exchange market alone turns over some $US81 billion daily. And that figure only represents a fraction of the worldwide forex market. The foreign exchange rate can be defined as the agreed price of one currency expressed in terms of another currency. For example, the EURO and USD (EUR/USD) currency pair can be quoted as “1.2204?. This would mean one EURO can be exchanged for $1.2204 US dollars. On the other hand, the (mathematical) inverse relationship is that one US dollar would fetch 0.8194 EURO. As you can see dealing with the foreign exchange market can get confusing pretty quickly if not for some simple high school arithmetic: some fractions and ratios.

Most currencies that trade in the worldwide foreign exchange market are floated with the exception of some that have a fixed currency value. Mid 2005 had the Yuan supposedly floated but the value of the Ren Min Bi (RMB – the other name Chinese currency is given besides Yuan) is still strictly controlled by the Chinese government. Trading the foreign exchange market involves taking advantage of the floating values of currencies worldwide. The currency floating system is where exchange rates are allowed to change in price in response to the primary market forces of supply and demand. There are many things that influence supply and demand and the value of currencies – too many to describe here – but a lot of the indicators are tied to the health of the country’s economy.

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Forex Trading: Introduction to Foreign Exchange Trading

Posted in Forex Trading, Submitted by Marco on Sat, 2006-04-08 02:21.

The foreign exchange markets are always in a constant state of flux, and for the budding trader, it can be a rather daunting place to invest and trade your money. We bring you into the world of foreign exchange trading. As you look into the prospect of forex trading you will begin to understand the width and breadth of the forex market. It is a worldwide market trading currencies 24 hours a day 7 days a week (Well actually, markets are actually open for about 5.5days a week actively trading). As a consequence of this huge market, the market is highly liquid and high volume takes place daily. As the market in constant flux there are plenty of opportunities for forex trading.

Forex trading takes advantage of the constant flux of the market, buying and selling into and out of the ebbs and flows of the foreign exchange trading charts. Many profitable trades await the trader in these markets. So as you examine your charts as a forex trader you will find that the market display’s repetitive behaviour as well as trends. Trends can go in three ways; an up trend, down trend and a sideways trend. As a trader you take advantage of price differences so you ought to stay away from sideways trending forex markets while jumping at every chance at up trending (long) markets or down trending (short) markets.

The important catchphrase in forex trading or any other trading for that matter is that “the trend is your friend.? An uptrend is simply defined as a set of prices on a chart that display a pattern of higher highs and higher lows: or put simply a graph going up from left to right. A downtrend is the opposite to an uptrend with a pattern of lower lows and lower highs: or simply put a graph going down from left to right. Then you have your sideways charts which really doesn’t display any clear uptrend or downtrend and shows up as either an erratic pattern of highs and lows or a pattern where the price doesn’t really change much between the highs and lows.

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A Day in the Life of a Forex Trader

Posted in Forex Trading, Submitted by Marco on Sat, 2006-04-08 02:10.

Are you looking into breaking into the field of professional foreign exchange trading? Or are you already a forex trader doing it regularly? Either way, this article may be of interest to you. The forex trader is a different breed of human being. They utilize the markets to earn a living everyday. We have a look into the insight of a day in the life of a forex trader.Any professional forex trader has the potential to make massive returns from their initial investment or on the nastier side any trader can make massive losses. It is not a game of chance, trading is a skill of emotional control and sound decision making. Traders have an understanding of market mechanics and their behaviour as a response of economic trends.Traders makes their living from taking advantage of price differences between the buy and sell price of currency pairs and more importantly they make their money by following the market trend. If you yourself have studies forex charts you may notice how the price fluctuates – there are only three directions the price can do: rise, fall or stay the same. Currency prices only stay the same if the currency value is not floated and fixed to a certain value. Traders make their money on the difference on price so the trader can either buy long and hope the currency rises or sell short as the currency drops in price and still makes a profit.The advanced forex trader waits for a new trade or rather waits for the right time to open a new trade by looking for the right indicators and signs to signal an entry into the foreign exchange market. There are two things that the forex trader can do at home to watch out for an entry signal: look at charts or wait for news. Traders watch for the right trending signals to enter a trade. And the primary rule for the trader is that ‘the trend is your friend.’ Stick to the trend and you won’t get hurt. Secondly, traders also watch the news. They must know what economic data is coming out on which days and what that data means to the future of the economy of the respective countries. If they don’t keep track of these facts and economic data and indicators they may find that some currencies are especially volatile during these news announcement events and see the market jump. The forex trader must be ready for these economic announcements to ensure they can anticipate the increased market activity.

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